What are your predictions for one of modern history's biggest events?

How good are your predictive abilities? 

Like most professionals, we like to think that we are pretty good at weighing up the evidence and forming a rational judgement about probable outcomes.  

However, all kinds of factors can shape our views.  CYK and Balance Legal Capital have teamed up to test the reality of participants’ predictive abilities about one of the most prominent events on the near horizon: Brexit.

If you’d like to find out how good you are at prediction, we’d like to invite you to take part in this short survey (only 4 questions) on what you think will happen with Brexit: a significant situation with a range of uncertain and mutually-exclusive outcomes.

We're not interested in your political views – just your predictive skills!  All results will be anonymised.

If you want to know how you stack up against the competition, leave your email address and we'll get in touch with the results. No identifying information will be shared outside CYK or Balance

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* 1. The House of Commons will vote in favour of the Government’s proposed Brexit deal.

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i We adjusted the number you entered based on the slider’s scale.

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* 2. The Government will negotiate an alternative Brexit deal with the EU, which the House of Commons will approve.

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i We adjusted the number you entered based on the slider’s scale.

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* 3. There will be a “no deal” Brexit.

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i We adjusted the number you entered based on the slider’s scale.

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* 4. The UK will not leave the EU.

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i We adjusted the number you entered based on the slider’s scale.

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* 5. Please leave your email address so that we can follow up.

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